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Pessimism is a mental attitude in which an undesirable outcome is anticipated from a given situation. Pessimists tend to focus on the negatives of life in general. A common question asked to test for pessimism is "Is the glass half empty or half full?"; in this situation, a pessimist is said to see the glass as half empty, or in extreme cases completely empty, while an optimist is said to see the glass as half full. Throughout history, the pessimistic disposition has had effects on all major areas of thinking.
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Etymology
The term pessimism derives from the Latin word pessimus, meaning 'the worst'. It was first used by Jesuit critics of Voltaire's 1759 novel Candide, ou l'Optimisme. Voltaire was satirizing the philosophy of Leibniz who maintained that this was the 'best (optimum) of all possible worlds'. In their attacks on Voltaire, the Jesuits of the Revue de Trévoux accused him of pessimisme.: 9
As a psychological disposition
In the ancient world, psychological pessimism was associated with melancholy, and was believed to be caused by an excess of black bile in the body. The study of pessimism has parallels with the study of depression. Psychologists trace pessimistic attitudes to emotional pain or even biology. Aaron Beck argues that depression is due to unrealistic negative views about the world. Beck starts treatment by engaging in conversation with clients about their unhelpful thoughts. Pessimists, however, are often able to provide arguments that suggest that their understanding of reality is justified; as in Depressive realism or (pessimistic realism). Deflection is a common method used by those who are depressed. They let people assume they are revealing everything which proves to be an effective way of hiding. The pessimism item on the Beck Depression Inventory has been judged useful in predicting suicides. The Beck Hopelessness Scale has also been described as a measurement of pessimism.
Wender and Klein point out that pessimism can be useful in some circumstances: "If one is subject to a series of defeats, it pays to adopt a conservative game plan of sitting back and waiting and letting others take the risks. Such waiting would be fostered by a pessimistic outlook. Similarly if one is raking in the chips of life, it pays to adopt an expansive risk-taking approach, and thus maximize access to scarce resources."
The leading causes of pessimism are genetics, past experience, and social and environmental factors. One study of 5,187 teenage twins and their siblings suggests that genetics may account for one-third of the variance in whether someone leans toward pessimism vs. optimism, with the remaining variance due to their environment, and twin studies suggest that, when it comes to personality, about half the differences between us are because of genetic factors. But Spector points out that throughout our lives, in response to environmental factors, our genes are constantly being dialled up and down as with a dimmer switch, a process known as epigenetics.
Criticism
Pragmatic criticism
Through history, some have concluded that a pessimistic attitude, although justified, must be avoided to endure. Optimistic attitudes are favored and of emotional consideration.Al-Ghazali and William James rejected their pessimism after suffering psychological, or even psychosomatic illness. Criticisms of this sort however assume that pessimism leads inevitably to a mood of darkness and utter depression. Many philosophers would disagree, claiming that the term "pessimism" is being abused. The link between pessimism and nihilism is present, but the former does not necessarily lead to the latter, as philosophers such as Albert Camus believed. Happiness is not inextricably linked to optimism, nor is pessimism inextricably linked to unhappiness. One could easily imagine an unhappy optimist, and a happy pessimist. Accusations of pessimism may be used to silence legitimate criticism.
The economist Nouriel Roubini (who introduces himself as Dr. Doom) was largely dismissed as a pessimist, for his dire but to some extent accurate predictions of a coming global financial crisis, in 2006. However, financial journalist Justin Fox observed in the Harvard Business Review in 2010 that "In fact, Roubini didn't exactly predict the crisis that began in mid-2007... Roubini spent several years predicting a very different sort of crisis—one in which foreign central banks diversifying their holdings out of Treasuries sparked a run on the dollar—only to turn in late 2006 to warning of a U.S. housing bust and a global 'hard landing'. He still didn't give a perfectly clear or (in retrospect) accurate vision of how exactly this would play out... I'm more than a little weirded out by the status of prophet that he has been accorded since." Others noted that "The problem is that even though he was spectacularly right on this one, he went on to predict time and time again, as the markets and the economy recovered in the years following the collapse, that there would be a follow-up crisis and that more extreme crashes were inevitable. His calls, after his initial pronouncement, were consistently wrong. Indeed, if you had listened to him, and many investors did, you would have missed the longest bull market run in US market history." Another observed: "For a prophet, he's wrong an awful lot of the time."Tony Robbins wrote: "Roubini warned of a recession in 2004 (wrongly), 2005 (wrongly), 2006 (wrongly), and 2007 (wrongly)" ... and he "predicted (wrongly) that there'd be a 'significant' stock market correction in 2013." Speaking about Roubini, economist Anirvan Banerji told The New York Times: "Even a stopped clock is right twice a day." Economist Nariman Behravesh said: "Nouriel Roubini has been singing the doom-and-gloom story for 10 years. Eventually something was going to be right."
Personality Plus opines that pessimistic temperaments (e.g., melancholy and phlegmatic) can be useful inasmuch as pessimists' focus on the negative helps them spot problems that people with more optimistic temperaments (e.g., choleric and sanguine) miss.[citation needed]
Other forms of pessimism
Philosophical pessimism
Philosophical pessimism is not a state of mind or a psychological disposition, but rather it is a worldview or philosophical position that assigns a negative value to life or existence. Philosophical pessimists commonly argue that the world contains an empirical prevalence of pains over pleasures, that existence is ontologically or metaphysically adverse to living beings, and that life is fundamentally meaningless or without purpose.
Political and cultural
Philosophical pessimism stands opposed to the optimism or even utopianism of Hegelian philosophies. Emil Cioran claimed "Hegel is chiefly responsible for modern optimism. How could he have failed to see that consciousness changes only its forms and modalities, but never progresses?" Philosophical pessimism is differentiated from other political philosophies by having no ideal governmental structure or political project, rather pessimism generally tends to be an anti-systematic philosophy of individual action.: 7 This is because philosophical pessimists tend to be skeptical that any politics of social progress can actually improve the human condition. As Cioran states, "every step forward is followed by a step back: this is the unfruitful oscillation of history". Cioran also attacks political optimism because it creates an "idolatry of tomorrow" which can be used to authorize anything in its name. This does not mean however, that the pessimist cannot be politically involved, as Camus argued in The Rebel (1951). Pessimism about the human condition was also expressed by Hobbes (1588–1679).
There is another strain of thought generally associated with a pessimistic worldview, this is the pessimism of cultural criticism and social decline. Anthony Trollope summarised the attitude with gentle mockery in 1880: "Everything is going wrong. [...] Farmers are generally on the verge of ruin. Trade is always bad. The Church is in danger. The House of Lords isn't worth a dozen years' purchase. The throne totters."
Oswald Spengler's The Decline of the West (1918–1922) popularised pessimism. Spengler promoted a cyclic model of history similar to the theories of Giambattista Vico (1668–1744). Spengler believed that modern western civilization was in a "winter" age of decline (German: Untergang). Spenglerian theory was immensely influential in interwar Europe, especially in Weimar Germany. Similarly, traditionalist Julius Evola (1898–1974) thought that the world was in the Kali Yuga, a Dark Age of moral decline.
Intellectuals such as Oliver James correlate economic progress with economic inequality, the stimulation of artificial needs, and affluenza. Anti-consumerists identify rising trends of conspicuous consumption and self-interested, image-conscious behavior in culture. Post-modernists like Jean Baudrillard (1929–2007) have even argued that culture (and therefore our lives) now has no basis in reality whatsoever.
Conservative thinkers, especially social conservatives, often perceive politics in a generally pessimistic way. William F. Buckley famously remarked that he was "standing athwart history yelling 'stop!'", and Whittaker Chambers (1901-1961) was convinced that capitalism was bound to fall to communism, though he himself became staunchly anti-communist. Social conservatives often see the West as a decadent and nihilistic civilization which has abandoned its roots in Christianity and/or Greek philosophy, leaving it doomed to fall into moral and political decay. Robert Bork's Slouching Toward Gomorrah and Allan Bloom's The Closing of the American Mind are famous expressions of this point of view.
Many economic conservatives and libertarians believe that the expansion of the state and the role of government in society is inevitable, and that they are at best fighting a holding action against it.[citation needed] They hold that the natural tendency of people is to be ruled and that freedom is an exceptional state of affairs which is now being abandoned in favor of social and economic security provided by the welfare state.[citation needed] Political pessimism has sometimes found expression in dystopian novels such as George Orwell's Nineteen Eighty-Four. Political pessimism about one's country often correlates with a desire to emigrate.
During the financial crisis of 2007–08 in the United States, the neologism "pessimism porn" came to describe the alleged eschatological and survivalist thrill some people derive from predicting, reading, and fantasizing about the collapse of civil society through the destruction of the world's economic system.
Puolanka, a municipality located in the Kainuu region in the northern Finland, has been called the "most pessimistic municipality in Finland", and in 2019, the municipality gained worldwide publicity when the BBC published a video about Puolanka, describing it as the "most pessimistic town in the world". Pessimism has a long tradition in the Kainuu region, mostly because Kainuu was a poor region that had often suffered from famines in the late 19th century and early 20th century, which is why the region is also called a "hunger land".
Technological and environmental
Technological pessimism is the belief that advances in science and technology do not lead to an improvement in the human condition. Technological pessimism can be said to have originated during the Industrial Revolution with the Luddite movement. Luddites blamed the rise of industrial mills and advanced factory machinery for the loss of their jobs and set out to destroy them. The Romantic movement was also pessimistic towards the rise of technology and longed for simpler and more natural times. Poets like William Wordsworth and William Blake believed that industrialization was polluting the purity of nature.
Some social critics and environmentalists believe that globalization, overpopulation and the economic practices of modern capitalist states over-stress the planet's ecological equilibrium. They warn that unless something is done to slow this, climate change will worsen eventually leading to some form of social and ecological collapse.James Lovelock believes that the ecology of the Earth has already been irretrievably damaged, and even an unrealistic shift in politics would not be enough to save it. According to Lovelock, the Earth's climate regulation system is being overwhelmed by pollution and the Earth will soon jump from its current state into a dramatically hotter climate. Lovelock blames this state of affairs on what he calls "polyanthroponemia", which is when: "humans overpopulate until they do more harm than good." Lovelock states:
The presence of 7 billion people aiming for first-world comforts…is clearly incompatible with the homeostasis of climate but also with chemistry, biological diversity and the economy of the system.
Some radical environmentalists, anti-globalization activists, and Neo-luddites can be said to hold to this type of pessimism about the effects of modern "progress". A more radical form of environmental pessimism is anarcho-primitivism which faults the agricultural revolution with giving rise to social stratification, coercion, and alienation. Some anarcho-primitivists promote deindustrialization, abandonment of modern technology and rewilding.
An infamous anarcho-primitivist is Theodore Kaczynski, also known as the Unabomber, who engaged in a nationwide mail bombing campaign. In his 1995 Unabomber manifesto, he called attention to the erosion of human freedom by the rise of the modern "industrial-technological system". The manifesto begins thus:
The Industrial Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race. They have greatly increased the life-expectancy of those of us who live in "advanced" countries, but they have destabilized society, have made life unfulfilling, have subjected human beings to indignities, have led to widespread psychological suffering (in the Third World to physical suffering as well) and have inflicted severe damage on the natural world. The continued development of technology will worsen the situation. It will certainly subject human beings to greater indignities and inflict greater damage on the natural world, it will probably lead to greater social disruption and psychological suffering, and it may lead to increased physical suffering even in "advanced" countries.
One of the most radical pessimist organizations is the voluntary human extinction movement, which argues for the extinction of the human race through antinatalism.
Pope Francis' controversial 2015 encyclical on ecological issues is rife with pessimistic assessments of the role of technology in the modern world.
Entropy pessimism
![image](https://www.english.nina.az/wikipedia/image/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZW5nbGlzaC5uaW5hLmF6L3dpa2lwZWRpYS9pbWFnZS9hSFIwY0hNNkx5OTFjR3h2WVdRdWQybHJhVzFsWkdsaExtOXlaeTkzYVd0cGNHVmthV0V2WTI5dGJXOXVjeTkwYUhWdFlpODVMemswTDBScFlXZHlZVzFmYjJaZmJtRjBkWEpoYkY5eVpYTnZkWEpqWlY5bWJHOTNjeTFsYmk1emRtY3ZNall3Y0hndFJHbGhaM0poYlY5dlpsOXVZWFIxY21Gc1gzSmxjMjkxY21ObFgyWnNiM2R6TFdWdUxuTjJaeTV3Ym1jPS5wbmc=.png)
"Entropy pessimism" represents a special case of technological and environmental pessimism, based on thermodynamic principles.: 116 According to the first law of thermodynamics, matter and energy is neither created nor destroyed in the economy. According to the second law of thermodynamics—also known as the entropy law—what happens in the economy is that all matter and energy is transformed from states available for human purposes (valuable natural resources) to states unavailable for human purposes (valueless waste and pollution). In effect, all of man's technologies and activities are only speeding up the general march against a future planetary "heat death" of degraded energy, exhausted natural resources and a deteriorated environment—a state of maximum entropy locally on earth; "locally" on earth, that is, when compared to the heat death of the universe, taken as a whole.
The term "entropy pessimism" was coined to describe the work of Romanian American economist Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen, a progenitor in economics and the paradigm founder of ecological economics.: 116 Georgescu-Roegen made extensive use of the entropy concept in his magnum opus on The Entropy Law and the Economic Process. Since the 1990s, leading ecological economist and steady-state theorist Herman Daly—a student of Georgescu-Roegen—has been the economic profession's most influential proponent of entropy pessimism.: 545
Among other matters, the entropy pessimism position is concerned with the existential impossibility of allocating Earth's finite stock of mineral resources evenly among an unknown number of present and future generations. This number of generations is likely to remain unknown to us, as there is no way—or only little way—of knowing in advance if or when mankind will ultimately face extinction. In effect, any conceivable intertemporal allocation of the stock will inevitably end up with universal economic decline at some future point.: 369–371 : 253–256 : 165 : 168–171 : 150–153 : 106–109 : 546–549 : 142–145
Entropy pessimism is a widespread view in ecological economics and in the degrowth movement.
Legal
Bibas writes that some criminal defense attorneys prefer to err on the side of pessimism: "Optimistic forecasts risk being proven disastrously wrong at trial, an embarrassing result that makes clients angry. On the other hand, if clients plead based on their lawyers' overly pessimistic advice, the cases do not go to trial and the clients are none the wiser."
See also
Notes
- Bennett, Oliver (2001). Cultural Pessimism: Narratives of Decline in the Postmodern World. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press. ISBN 978-0-7486-0936-9.
- Dienstag, Joshua Foa (2009). Pessimism: Philosophy, Ethic, Spirit. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0-6911-4112-1.
- Kirszner, Laurie (January 2012). Patterns for College Writing. United States: Bedford/St.Martins. p. 477. ISBN 978-0-312-67684-1.
- Beck, AT; Steer, RA; Kovacs, M (1985), "Hopelessness and eventual suicide: a 10-year prospective study of patients hospitalized with suicidal ideation", American Journal of Psychiatry, 142 (5): 559–563, CiteSeerX 10.1.1.462.6328, doi:10.1176/ajp.142.5.559, PMID 3985195
- Beck, AT; Weissman, A; Lester, D; Trexler, L (1974), "The measurement of pessimism: the hopelessness scale", Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 42 (6), Journal of Consulting and Clinical: 861–5, doi:10.1037/h0037562, PMID 4436473
- Wender, PH; Klein, DF (1982), Mind, Mood and Medicine, New American Library
- Mavioğlu, Rezan Nehir; Boomsma, Dorret I.; Bartels, Meike (2015-11-01). "Causes of individual differences in adolescent optimism: a study in Dutch twins and their siblings". European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry. 24 (11): 1381–1388. doi:10.1007/s00787-015-0680-x. ISSN 1435-165X. PMC 4628618. PMID 25638288.
- "Can science explain why I'm a pessimist?". BBC News. 2013-07-10. Retrieved 2024-09-05.
- Michau, Michael R. ""Doing, Suffering, and Creating": William James and Depression" (PDF). web.ics.purdue.edu. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2009-02-26. Retrieved 2020-04-22.
- Justin Fox (May 26, 2010). "What Exactly is Nouriel Roubini Good For?", Harvard Business Review.
- David H. Freedman (2010). Wrong: Why experts* keep failing us--and how to know when not to trust them, Little, Brown.
- Thomas I. Palley (2013). From Financial Crisis to Stagnation; The Destruction of Shared Prosperity and the Role of Economics.
- David Lawrence (February 4, 2022). "Why year-ahead stock predictions are usually wrong," North Bay Business Journal.
- Jayson MacLean (May 6, 2020). "Nouriel Roubini warns of Great Depression just like he did last year (and the year before that)," Cantech Letter.
- "Market gurus:Overrated Dr Roubini flops—again," Moneylife, March 10, 2011.
- "How much should you trust economists' predictions?", AZ Central, May 8, 2014.
- Joe Keohane (January 9, 2011). "That guy who called the big one? Don’t listen to him." The Boston Globe.
- Tony Robbins, Peter Mallouk (2017). Unshakeable; Your Financial Freedom Playbook
- Emma Brockes (January 23, 2009). "He told us so," The Guardian.
- Helaine Olen (March 30, 2009). "The Prime of Mr. Nouriel Roubini", Entrepreneur.
- For discussions around the views and arguments of philosophical pessimism see:
- Schopenhauer, Arthur (2010) [1818]. Welchman, Alistair; Janaway, Christopher; Norman, Judith (eds.). The World as Will and Representation. Vol. 1. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511780943. ISBN 978-0-521-87184-6.
- Schopenhauer, Arthur (2018) [1844]. Welchman, Alistair; Janaway, Christopher; Norman, Judith (eds.). The World as Will and Representation. Vol. 2. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9780511843112. ISBN 978-0-521-87034-4.
- Benatar, David (2017). The Human Predicament: A Candid Guide to Life's Biggest Questions. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-063381-3.
- Ligotti, Thomas (2011). The Conspiracy Against the Human Race: A Contrivance of Horror. New York: Hippocampus Press. ISBN 978-0-9844802-7-2. OCLC 805656473.
- Saltus, Edgar (2012) [1885]. The Philosophy of Disenchantment. Project Gutenberg.
- Coates, Ken (2014). Anti-Natalism: Rejectionist Philosophy from Buddhism to Benatar. First Edition Design Pub. ISBN 978-1-62287-570-2.
- Lugt, Mara van der (2021). Dark Matters: Pessimism and the Problem of Suffering. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0-691-20662-2.
- Sully, James (1877). Pessimism: A History and a Criticism. London: Henry S. King & Co.
- Cioran, Emil. A short history of decay, pg 146
- Cioran, Emil. A short history of decay, pg 178
- Walton, C.; Johnson, P.J. (2012). Hobbes's 'Science of Natural Justice'. International Archives of the History of Ideas Archives internationales d'histoire des idées. Springer Netherlands. p. 64. ISBN 978-94-009-3485-6. Retrieved 2023-03-20.
- Rothman, A. (2017). The Pursuit of Harmony: Kepler on Cosmos, Confession, and Community. University of Chicago Press. p. 219. ISBN 978-0-226-49697-9. Retrieved 2023-03-20.
- Trollope, Anthony (1 January 2003) [1880]. "62: The Brake Country". The Duke's Children. Project Gutenberg. Retrieved 31 July 2023.
- Compare: Holmes, Jack E.; Engelhardt, Michael J.; Elder, Robert E. (1991). American Government: Essentials & Perspectives. New York: McGraw-Hill. p. 16. ISBN 9780070297678. Retrieved 31 July 2023.
[Those] more sympathetic to libertarian views on the role of government have been in the position of fighting a holding action against the growth of government [...].
- Lowenthal, D (1969), "Orwell's Political Pessimism in '1984'", Polity, 2 (2): 160–175, doi:10.2307/3234097, JSTOR 3234097, S2CID 156005171
- Brym, RJ (1992), "The emigration potential of Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland and Russia: recent survey results", International Sociology, 7 (4): 387–95, doi:10.1177/026858092007004001, PMID 12179890, S2CID 5989051
- Pessimism Porn: A soft spot for hard times, Hugo Lindgren, New York, February 9, 2009; accessed July 8, 2012
- Pessimism Porn? Economic Forecasts Get Lurid, Dan Harris, ABC News, April 9, 2009; accessed July 8, 2012
- Apocalypse and Post-Politics: The Romance of the End, Mary Manjikian, Lexington Books, March 15, 2012, ISBN 0739166220
- Pessimism Porn: Titillatingly bleak media reports, Ben Schott, New York Times, February 23, 2009; accessed July 8, 2012
- "Pessimistinen Puolanka". Yle (in Finnish). 3 January 2020. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
- "The world's most pessimistic town". BBC. 1 November 2019. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
- Väisänen, Heino (1998). Kainuun kansan waiheita vv. 1500 – 1900, p. 213. Gummerus Kirjapaino Oy. ISBN 952-91-0373-5
- "Romanticism". Wsu.edu. Archived from the original on 2008-07-18. Retrieved 2010-06-02.
- The New York Review of Books Gray, John. "The Global Delusion, John Gray".
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(help) - The Washington Post: Unabomber Special Report: INDUSTRIAL SOCIETY AND ITS FUTURE
- Ayres, Robert U. (2007). "On the practical limits to substitution" (PDF). Ecological Economics. 61: 115–128. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.02.011. S2CID 154728333.
- Georgescu-Roegen, Nicholas (1971). The Entropy Law and the Economic Process (Full book accessible at Scribd). Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press. ISBN 978-0674257801.
- Daly, Herman E. (2015). "Economics for a Full World". Scientific American. 293 (3): 100–7. doi:10.1038/scientificamerican0905-100. PMID 16121860. S2CID 13441670. Retrieved 23 November 2016.
- Kerschner, Christian (2010). "Economic de-growth vs. steady-state economy" (PDF). Journal of Cleaner Production. 18 (6): 544–551. Bibcode:2010JCPro..18..544K. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2009.10.019.
- Daly, Herman E., ed. (1980). Economics, Ecology, Ethics. Essays Towards a Steady-State Economy (PDF contains only the introductory chapter of the book) (2nd ed.). San Francisco: W.H. Freeman and Company. ISBN 978-0716711780.
- Rifkin, Jeremy (1980). Entropy: A New World View (PDF). New York: The Viking Press. ISBN 978-0670297177. Archived from the original (PDF contains only the title and contents pages of the book) on 2016-10-18.
- Boulding, Kenneth E. (1981). Evolutionary Economics. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications. ISBN 978-0803916487.
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- Schmitz, John E.J. (2007). The Second Law of Life: Energy, Technology, and the Future of Earth As We Know It (Author's science blog, based on his textbook). Norwich: William Andrew Publishing. ISBN 978-0815515371.
- Perez-Carmona, Alexander (2013). "Growth: A Discussion of the Margins of Economic and Ecological Thought". In Meuleman, Louis (ed.). Transgovernance. Advancing Sustainability Governance (Article accessible at SlideShare). Heidelberg: Springer. pp. 83–161. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-28009-2_3. ISBN 9783642280085.
- Bibas, Stephanos (Jun 2004), Plea Bargaining outside the Shadow of Trial, vol. 117, Harvard Law Review, pp. 2463–2547.
Further reading
External links
![image](https://www.english.nina.az/wikipedia/image/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZW5nbGlzaC5uaW5hLmF6L3dpa2lwZWRpYS9pbWFnZS9hSFIwY0hNNkx5OTFjR3h2WVdRdWQybHJhVzFsWkdsaExtOXlaeTkzYVd0cGNHVmthV0V2WTI5dGJXOXVjeTkwYUhWdFlpOW1MMlpoTDFkcGEybHhkVzkwWlMxc2IyZHZMbk4yWnk4ek5IQjRMVmRwYTJseGRXOTBaUzFzYjJkdkxuTjJaeTV3Ym1jPS5wbmc=.png)
- Encyclopædia Britannica. Vol. 21 (11th ed.). 1911. .
- Contestabile, Bruno (2016). "The Denial of the World from an Impartial View". Contemporary Buddhism. 17: 49–61. doi:10.1080/14639947.2015.1104003. S2CID 148168698.
- Pessimism by Mara Van der Lugt in The Philosopher.
This article needs additional citations for verification Please help improve this article by adding citations to reliable sources Unsourced material may be challenged and removed Find sources Pessimism news newspapers books scholar JSTOR September 2022 Learn how and when to remove this message Pessimism is a mental attitude in which an undesirable outcome is anticipated from a given situation Pessimists tend to focus on the negatives of life in general A common question asked to test for pessimism is Is the glass half empty or half full in this situation a pessimist is said to see the glass as half empty or in extreme cases completely empty while an optimist is said to see the glass as half full Throughout history the pessimistic disposition has had effects on all major areas of thinking An optimist and a pessimist Vladimir Makovsky 1893EtymologyThe term pessimism derives from the Latin word pessimus meaning the worst It was first used by Jesuit critics of Voltaire s 1759 novel Candide ou l Optimisme Voltaire was satirizing the philosophy of Leibniz who maintained that this was the best optimum of all possible worlds In their attacks on Voltaire the Jesuits of the Revue de Trevoux accused him of pessimisme 9 As a psychological dispositionIn the ancient world psychological pessimism was associated with melancholy and was believed to be caused by an excess of black bile in the body The study of pessimism has parallels with the study of depression Psychologists trace pessimistic attitudes to emotional pain or even biology Aaron Beck argues that depression is due to unrealistic negative views about the world Beck starts treatment by engaging in conversation with clients about their unhelpful thoughts Pessimists however are often able to provide arguments that suggest that their understanding of reality is justified as in Depressive realism or pessimistic realism Deflection is a common method used by those who are depressed They let people assume they are revealing everything which proves to be an effective way of hiding The pessimism item on the Beck Depression Inventory has been judged useful in predicting suicides The Beck Hopelessness Scale has also been described as a measurement of pessimism Wender and Klein point out that pessimism can be useful in some circumstances If one is subject to a series of defeats it pays to adopt a conservative game plan of sitting back and waiting and letting others take the risks Such waiting would be fostered by a pessimistic outlook Similarly if one is raking in the chips of life it pays to adopt an expansive risk taking approach and thus maximize access to scarce resources The leading causes of pessimism are genetics past experience and social and environmental factors One study of 5 187 teenage twins and their siblings suggests that genetics may account for one third of the variance in whether someone leans toward pessimism vs optimism with the remaining variance due to their environment and twin studies suggest that when it comes to personality about half the differences between us are because of genetic factors But Spector points out that throughout our lives in response to environmental factors our genes are constantly being dialled up and down as with a dimmer switch a process known as epigenetics CriticismPragmatic criticism Through history some have concluded that a pessimistic attitude although justified must be avoided to endure Optimistic attitudes are favored and of emotional consideration Al Ghazali and William James rejected their pessimism after suffering psychological or even psychosomatic illness Criticisms of this sort however assume that pessimism leads inevitably to a mood of darkness and utter depression Many philosophers would disagree claiming that the term pessimism is being abused The link between pessimism and nihilism is present but the former does not necessarily lead to the latter as philosophers such as Albert Camus believed Happiness is not inextricably linked to optimism nor is pessimism inextricably linked to unhappiness One could easily imagine an unhappy optimist and a happy pessimist Accusations of pessimism may be used to silence legitimate criticism The economist Nouriel Roubini who introduces himself as Dr Doom was largely dismissed as a pessimist for his dire but to some extent accurate predictions of a coming global financial crisis in 2006 However financial journalist Justin Fox observed in the Harvard Business Review in 2010 that In fact Roubini didn t exactly predict the crisis that began in mid 2007 Roubini spent several years predicting a very different sort of crisis one in which foreign central banks diversifying their holdings out of Treasuries sparked a run on the dollar only to turn in late 2006 to warning of a U S housing bust and a global hard landing He still didn t give a perfectly clear or in retrospect accurate vision of how exactly this would play out I m more than a little weirded out by the status of prophet that he has been accorded since Others noted that The problem is that even though he was spectacularly right on this one he went on to predict time and time again as the markets and the economy recovered in the years following the collapse that there would be a follow up crisis and that more extreme crashes were inevitable His calls after his initial pronouncement were consistently wrong Indeed if you had listened to him and many investors did you would have missed the longest bull market run in US market history Another observed For a prophet he s wrong an awful lot of the time Tony Robbins wrote Roubini warned of a recession in 2004 wrongly 2005 wrongly 2006 wrongly and 2007 wrongly and he predicted wrongly that there d be a significant stock market correction in 2013 Speaking about Roubini economist Anirvan Banerji told The New York Times Even a stopped clock is right twice a day Economist Nariman Behravesh said Nouriel Roubini has been singing the doom and gloom story for 10 years Eventually something was going to be right Personality Plus opines that pessimistic temperaments e g melancholy and phlegmatic can be useful inasmuch as pessimists focus on the negative helps them spot problems that people with more optimistic temperaments e g choleric and sanguine miss citation needed Other forms of pessimismPhilosophical pessimism Philosophical pessimism is not a state of mind or a psychological disposition but rather it is a worldview or philosophical position that assigns a negative value to life or existence Philosophical pessimists commonly argue that the world contains an empirical prevalence of pains over pleasures that existence is ontologically or metaphysically adverse to living beings and that life is fundamentally meaningless or without purpose Political and cultural Philosophical pessimism stands opposed to the optimism or even utopianism of Hegelian philosophies Emil Cioran claimed Hegel is chiefly responsible for modern optimism How could he have failed to see that consciousness changes only its forms and modalities but never progresses Philosophical pessimism is differentiated from other political philosophies by having no ideal governmental structure or political project rather pessimism generally tends to be an anti systematic philosophy of individual action 7 This is because philosophical pessimists tend to be skeptical that any politics of social progress can actually improve the human condition As Cioran states every step forward is followed by a step back this is the unfruitful oscillation of history Cioran also attacks political optimism because it creates an idolatry of tomorrow which can be used to authorize anything in its name This does not mean however that the pessimist cannot be politically involved as Camus argued in The Rebel 1951 Pessimism about the human condition was also expressed by Hobbes 1588 1679 There is another strain of thought generally associated with a pessimistic worldview this is the pessimism of cultural criticism and social decline Anthony Trollope summarised the attitude with gentle mockery in 1880 Everything is going wrong Farmers are generally on the verge of ruin Trade is always bad The Church is in danger The House of Lords isn t worth a dozen years purchase The throne totters Oswald Spengler s The Decline of the West 1918 1922 popularised pessimism Spengler promoted a cyclic model of history similar to the theories of Giambattista Vico 1668 1744 Spengler believed that modern western civilization was in a winter age of decline German Untergang Spenglerian theory was immensely influential in interwar Europe especially in Weimar Germany Similarly traditionalist Julius Evola 1898 1974 thought that the world was in the Kali Yuga a Dark Age of moral decline Intellectuals such as Oliver James correlate economic progress with economic inequality the stimulation of artificial needs and affluenza Anti consumerists identify rising trends of conspicuous consumption and self interested image conscious behavior in culture Post modernists like Jean Baudrillard 1929 2007 have even argued that culture and therefore our lives now has no basis in reality whatsoever Conservative thinkers especially social conservatives often perceive politics in a generally pessimistic way William F Buckley famously remarked that he was standing athwart history yelling stop and Whittaker Chambers 1901 1961 was convinced that capitalism was bound to fall to communism though he himself became staunchly anti communist Social conservatives often see the West as a decadent and nihilistic civilization which has abandoned its roots in Christianity and or Greek philosophy leaving it doomed to fall into moral and political decay Robert Bork s Slouching Toward Gomorrah and Allan Bloom s The Closing of the American Mind are famous expressions of this point of view Many economic conservatives and libertarians believe that the expansion of the state and the role of government in society is inevitable and that they are at best fighting a holding action against it citation needed They hold that the natural tendency of people is to be ruled and that freedom is an exceptional state of affairs which is now being abandoned in favor of social and economic security provided by the welfare state citation needed Political pessimism has sometimes found expression in dystopian novels such as George Orwell s Nineteen Eighty Four Political pessimism about one s country often correlates with a desire to emigrate During the financial crisis of 2007 08 in the United States the neologism pessimism porn came to describe the alleged eschatological and survivalist thrill some people derive from predicting reading and fantasizing about the collapse of civil society through the destruction of the world s economic system Puolanka a municipality located in the Kainuu region in the northern Finland has been called the most pessimistic municipality in Finland and in 2019 the municipality gained worldwide publicity when the BBC published a video about Puolanka describing it as the most pessimistic town in the world Pessimism has a long tradition in the Kainuu region mostly because Kainuu was a poor region that had often suffered from famines in the late 19th century and early 20th century which is why the region is also called a hunger land Technological and environmental Technological pessimism is the belief that advances in science and technology do not lead to an improvement in the human condition Technological pessimism can be said to have originated during the Industrial Revolution with the Luddite movement Luddites blamed the rise of industrial mills and advanced factory machinery for the loss of their jobs and set out to destroy them The Romantic movement was also pessimistic towards the rise of technology and longed for simpler and more natural times Poets like William Wordsworth and William Blake believed that industrialization was polluting the purity of nature Some social critics and environmentalists believe that globalization overpopulation and the economic practices of modern capitalist states over stress the planet s ecological equilibrium They warn that unless something is done to slow this climate change will worsen eventually leading to some form of social and ecological collapse James Lovelock believes that the ecology of the Earth has already been irretrievably damaged and even an unrealistic shift in politics would not be enough to save it According to Lovelock the Earth s climate regulation system is being overwhelmed by pollution and the Earth will soon jump from its current state into a dramatically hotter climate Lovelock blames this state of affairs on what he calls polyanthroponemia which is when humans overpopulate until they do more harm than good Lovelock states The presence of 7 billion people aiming for first world comforts is clearly incompatible with the homeostasis of climate but also with chemistry biological diversity and the economy of the system Some radical environmentalists anti globalization activists and Neo luddites can be said to hold to this type of pessimism about the effects of modern progress A more radical form of environmental pessimism is anarcho primitivism which faults the agricultural revolution with giving rise to social stratification coercion and alienation Some anarcho primitivists promote deindustrialization abandonment of modern technology and rewilding An infamous anarcho primitivist is Theodore Kaczynski also known as the Unabomber who engaged in a nationwide mail bombing campaign In his 1995 Unabomber manifesto he called attention to the erosion of human freedom by the rise of the modern industrial technological system The manifesto begins thus The Industrial Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race They have greatly increased the life expectancy of those of us who live in advanced countries but they have destabilized society have made life unfulfilling have subjected human beings to indignities have led to widespread psychological suffering in the Third World to physical suffering as well and have inflicted severe damage on the natural world The continued development of technology will worsen the situation It will certainly subject human beings to greater indignities and inflict greater damage on the natural world it will probably lead to greater social disruption and psychological suffering and it may lead to increased physical suffering even in advanced countries One of the most radical pessimist organizations is the voluntary human extinction movement which argues for the extinction of the human race through antinatalism Pope Francis controversial 2015 encyclical on ecological issues is rife with pessimistic assessments of the role of technology in the modern world Entropy pessimism Natural resources flow through the economy and end up as waste and pollution Entropy pessimism represents a special case of technological and environmental pessimism based on thermodynamic principles 116 According to the first law of thermodynamics matter and energy is neither created nor destroyed in the economy According to the second law of thermodynamics also known as the entropy law what happens in the economy is that all matter and energy is transformed from states available for human purposes valuable natural resources to states unavailable for human purposes valueless waste and pollution In effect all of man s technologies and activities are only speeding up the general march against a future planetary heat death of degraded energy exhausted natural resources and a deteriorated environment a state of maximum entropy locally on earth locally on earth that is when compared to the heat death of the universe taken as a whole The term entropy pessimism was coined to describe the work of Romanian American economist Nicholas Georgescu Roegen a progenitor in economics and the paradigm founder of ecological economics 116 Georgescu Roegen made extensive use of the entropy concept in his magnum opus on The Entropy Law and the Economic Process Since the 1990s leading ecological economist and steady state theorist Herman Daly a student of Georgescu Roegen has been the economic profession s most influential proponent of entropy pessimism 545 Among other matters the entropy pessimism position is concerned with the existential impossibility of allocating Earth s finite stock of mineral resources evenly among an unknown number of present and future generations This number of generations is likely to remain unknown to us as there is no way or only little way of knowing in advance if or when mankind will ultimately face extinction In effect any conceivable intertemporal allocation of the stock will inevitably end up with universal economic decline at some future point 369 371 253 256 165 168 171 150 153 106 109 546 549 142 145 Entropy pessimism is a widespread view in ecological economics and in the degrowth movement Legal Bibas writes that some criminal defense attorneys prefer to err on the side of pessimism Optimistic forecasts risk being proven disastrously wrong at trial an embarrassing result that makes clients angry On the other hand if clients plead based on their lawyers overly pessimistic advice the cases do not go to trial and the clients are none the wiser See alsoCynicism Declinism Defeatism Defensive pessimism Depressive realism The Devil s Dictionary Depression mood Doomerism Dystopia Fatalism Mood Murphy s law Neuroticism Nihilism Optimism Optimism bias Paranoia Toxic positivity Whig historyNotesBennett Oliver 2001 Cultural Pessimism Narratives of Decline in the Postmodern World Edinburgh Edinburgh University Press ISBN 978 0 7486 0936 9 Dienstag Joshua Foa 2009 Pessimism Philosophy Ethic Spirit Princeton New Jersey Princeton University Press ISBN 978 0 6911 4112 1 Kirszner Laurie January 2012 Patterns for College Writing United States Bedford St Martins p 477 ISBN 978 0 312 67684 1 Beck AT Steer RA Kovacs M 1985 Hopelessness and eventual suicide a 10 year prospective study of patients hospitalized with suicidal ideation American Journal of Psychiatry 142 5 559 563 CiteSeerX 10 1 1 462 6328 doi 10 1176 ajp 142 5 559 PMID 3985195 Beck AT Weissman A Lester D Trexler L 1974 The measurement of pessimism the hopelessness scale Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 42 6 Journal of Consulting and Clinical 861 5 doi 10 1037 h0037562 PMID 4436473 Wender PH Klein DF 1982 Mind Mood and Medicine New American Library Mavioglu Rezan Nehir Boomsma Dorret I Bartels Meike 2015 11 01 Causes of individual differences in adolescent optimism a study in Dutch twins and their siblings European Child amp Adolescent Psychiatry 24 11 1381 1388 doi 10 1007 s00787 015 0680 x ISSN 1435 165X PMC 4628618 PMID 25638288 Can science explain why I m a pessimist BBC News 2013 07 10 Retrieved 2024 09 05 Michau Michael R Doing Suffering and Creating William James and Depression PDF web ics purdue edu Archived from the original PDF on 2009 02 26 Retrieved 2020 04 22 Justin Fox May 26 2010 What Exactly is Nouriel Roubini Good For Harvard Business Review David H Freedman 2010 Wrong Why experts keep failing us and how to know when not to trust them Little Brown Thomas I Palley 2013 From Financial Crisis to Stagnation The Destruction of Shared Prosperity and the Role of Economics David Lawrence February 4 2022 Why year ahead stock predictions are usually wrong North Bay Business Journal Jayson MacLean May 6 2020 Nouriel Roubini warns of Great Depression just like he did last year and the year before that Cantech Letter Market gurus Overrated Dr Roubini flops again Moneylife March 10 2011 How much should you trust economists predictions AZ Central May 8 2014 Joe Keohane January 9 2011 That guy who called the big one Don t listen to him The Boston Globe Tony Robbins Peter Mallouk 2017 Unshakeable Your Financial Freedom Playbook Emma Brockes January 23 2009 He told us so The Guardian Helaine Olen March 30 2009 The Prime of Mr Nouriel Roubini Entrepreneur For discussions around the views and arguments of philosophical pessimism see Schopenhauer Arthur 2010 1818 Welchman Alistair Janaway Christopher Norman Judith eds The World as Will and Representation Vol 1 Cambridge Cambridge University Press doi 10 1017 CBO9780511780943 ISBN 978 0 521 87184 6 Schopenhauer Arthur 2018 1844 Welchman Alistair Janaway Christopher Norman Judith eds The World as Will and Representation Vol 2 Cambridge Cambridge University Press doi 10 1017 9780511843112 ISBN 978 0 521 87034 4 Benatar David 2017 The Human Predicament A Candid Guide to Life s Biggest Questions Oxford Oxford University Press ISBN 978 0 19 063381 3 Ligotti Thomas 2011 The Conspiracy Against the Human Race A Contrivance of Horror New York Hippocampus Press ISBN 978 0 9844802 7 2 OCLC 805656473 Saltus Edgar 2012 1885 The Philosophy of Disenchantment Project Gutenberg Coates Ken 2014 Anti Natalism Rejectionist Philosophy from Buddhism to Benatar First Edition Design Pub ISBN 978 1 62287 570 2 Lugt Mara van der 2021 Dark Matters Pessimism and the Problem of Suffering Princeton New Jersey Princeton University Press ISBN 978 0 691 20662 2 Sully James 1877 Pessimism A History and a Criticism London Henry S King amp Co Cioran Emil A short history of decay pg 146 Cioran Emil A short history of decay pg 178 Walton C Johnson P J 2012 Hobbes s Science of Natural Justice International Archives of the History of Ideas Archives internationales d histoire des idees Springer Netherlands p 64 ISBN 978 94 009 3485 6 Retrieved 2023 03 20 Rothman A 2017 The Pursuit of Harmony Kepler on Cosmos Confession and Community University of Chicago Press p 219 ISBN 978 0 226 49697 9 Retrieved 2023 03 20 Trollope Anthony 1 January 2003 1880 62 The Brake Country The Duke s Children Project Gutenberg Retrieved 31 July 2023 Compare Holmes Jack E Engelhardt Michael J Elder Robert E 1991 American Government Essentials amp Perspectives New York McGraw Hill p 16 ISBN 9780070297678 Retrieved 31 July 2023 Those more sympathetic to libertarian views on the role of government have been in the position of fighting a holding action against the growth of government Lowenthal D 1969 Orwell s Political Pessimism in 1984 Polity 2 2 160 175 doi 10 2307 3234097 JSTOR 3234097 S2CID 156005171 Brym RJ 1992 The emigration potential of Czechoslovakia Hungary Lithuania Poland and Russia recent survey results International Sociology 7 4 387 95 doi 10 1177 026858092007004001 PMID 12179890 S2CID 5989051 Pessimism Porn A soft spot for hard times Hugo Lindgren New York February 9 2009 accessed July 8 2012 Pessimism Porn Economic Forecasts Get Lurid Dan Harris ABC News April 9 2009 accessed July 8 2012 Apocalypse and Post Politics The Romance of the End Mary Manjikian Lexington Books March 15 2012 ISBN 0739166220 Pessimism Porn Titillatingly bleak media reports Ben Schott New York Times February 23 2009 accessed July 8 2012 Pessimistinen Puolanka Yle in Finnish 3 January 2020 Retrieved 25 November 2023 The world s most pessimistic town BBC 1 November 2019 Retrieved 25 November 2023 Vaisanen Heino 1998 Kainuun kansan waiheita vv 1500 1900 p 213 Gummerus Kirjapaino Oy ISBN 952 91 0373 5 Romanticism Wsu edu Archived from the original on 2008 07 18 Retrieved 2010 06 02 The New York Review of Books Gray John The Global Delusion John Gray a href wiki Template Cite magazine title Template Cite magazine cite magazine a Cite magazine requires magazine help The New York Review of Books Flannery Tim A Great Jump to Disaster Tim Flannery a href wiki Template Cite magazine title Template Cite magazine cite magazine a Cite magazine requires magazine help The Washington Post Unabomber Special Report INDUSTRIAL SOCIETY AND ITS FUTURE Ayres Robert U 2007 On the practical limits to substitution PDF Ecological Economics 61 115 128 doi 10 1016 j ecolecon 2006 02 011 S2CID 154728333 Georgescu Roegen Nicholas 1971 The Entropy Law and the Economic Process Full book accessible at Scribd Cambridge Massachusetts Harvard University Press ISBN 978 0674257801 Daly Herman E 2015 Economics for a Full World Scientific American 293 3 100 7 doi 10 1038 scientificamerican0905 100 PMID 16121860 S2CID 13441670 Retrieved 23 November 2016 Kerschner Christian 2010 Economic de growth vs steady state economy PDF Journal of Cleaner Production 18 6 544 551 Bibcode 2010JCPro 18 544K doi 10 1016 j jclepro 2009 10 019 Daly Herman E ed 1980 Economics Ecology Ethics Essays Towards a Steady State Economy PDF contains only the introductory chapter of the book 2nd ed San Francisco W H Freeman and Company ISBN 978 0716711780 Rifkin Jeremy 1980 Entropy A New World View PDF New York The Viking Press ISBN 978 0670297177 Archived from the original PDF contains only the title and contents pages of the book on 2016 10 18 Boulding Kenneth E 1981 Evolutionary Economics Beverly Hills Sage Publications ISBN 978 0803916487 Martinez Alier Juan 1987 Ecological Economics Energy Environment and Society Oxford Basil Blackwell ISBN 978 0631171461 Gowdy John M Mesner Susan 1998 The Evolution of Georgescu Roegen s Bioeconomics PDF Review of Social Economy 56 2 136 156 doi 10 1080 00346769800000016 Schmitz John E J 2007 The Second Law of Life Energy Technology and the Future of Earth As We Know It Author s science blog based on his textbook Norwich William Andrew Publishing ISBN 978 0815515371 Perez Carmona Alexander 2013 Growth A Discussion of the Margins of Economic and Ecological Thought In Meuleman Louis ed Transgovernance Advancing Sustainability Governance Article accessible at SlideShare Heidelberg Springer pp 83 161 doi 10 1007 978 3 642 28009 2 3 ISBN 9783642280085 Bibas Stephanos Jun 2004 Plea Bargaining outside the Shadow of Trial vol 117 Harvard Law Review pp 2463 2547 Further readingSchmitt Mark Spectres of Pessimism A Cultural Logic of the Worst Palgrave 2023 ISBN 978 3 031 25351 5 Slaboch Matthew W A Road to Nowhere The Idea of Progress and Its Critics The University of Pennsylvania Press 2018 ISBN 0 812 24980 1External linksWikiquote has quotations related to Pessimism Pessimism Encyclopaedia Britannica Vol 21 11th ed 1911 Contestabile Bruno 2016 The Denial of the World from an Impartial View Contemporary Buddhism 17 49 61 doi 10 1080 14639947 2015 1104003 S2CID 148168698 Pessimism by Mara Van der Lugt in The Philosopher