In medicine and psychology, clinical significance is the practical importance of a treatment effect—whether it has a real genuine, palpable, noticeable effect on daily life.
Types of significance
Statistical significance
Statistical significance is used in hypothesis testing, whereby the null hypothesis (that there is no relationship between variables) is tested. A level of significance is selected (most commonly α = 0.05 or 0.01), which signifies the probability of incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis. If there is a significant difference between two groups at α = 0.05, it means that there is only a 5% probability of obtaining the observed results under the assumption that the difference is entirely due to chance (i.e., the null hypothesis is true); it gives no indication of the magnitude or clinical importance of the difference. When statistically significant results are achieved, they favor rejection of the null hypothesis, but they do not prove that the null hypothesis is false. Likewise, non-significant results do not prove that the null hypothesis is true; they also give no evidence of the truth or falsity of the hypothesis the researcher has generated. Statistical significance relates only to the compatibility between observed data and what would be expected under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true.
Practical significance
In broad usage, the "practical clinical significance" answers the question, how effective is the intervention or treatment, or how much change does the treatment cause. In terms of testing clinical treatments, practical significance optimally yields quantified information about the importance of a finding, using metrics such as effect size, number needed to treat (NNT), and preventive fraction. Practical significance may also convey semi-quantitative, comparative, or feasibility assessments of utility.
Effect size is one type of practical significance. It quantifies the extent to which a sample diverges from expectations. Effect size can provide important information about the results of a study, and are recommended for inclusion in addition to statistical significance. Effect sizes have their own sources of bias, are subject to change based on population variability of the dependent variable, and tend to focus on group effects, not individual changes.
Although clinical significance and practical significance are often used synonymously, a more technical restrictive usage denotes this as erroneous. This technical use within psychology and psychotherapy not only results from a carefully drawn precision and particularity of language, but it enables a shift in perspective from group effects to the specifics of change(s) within an individual.[citation needed]
Specific usage
In contrast, when used as a technical term within psychology and psychotherapy, clinical significance yields information on whether a treatment was effective enough to change a patient's diagnostic label. In terms of clinical treatment studies, clinical significance answers the question "Is a treatment effective enough to cause the patient to be normal [with respect to the diagnostic criteria in question]?"[citation needed]
For example, a treatment might significantly change depressive symptoms (statistical significance), the change could be a large decrease in depressive symptoms (practical significance- effect size), and 40% of the patients no longer met the diagnostic criteria for depression (clinical significance). It is very possible to have a treatment that yields a significant difference and medium or large effect sizes, but does not move a patient from dysfunctional to functional.[citation needed]
Within psychology and psychotherapy, clinical significance was first proposed by Jacobson, Follette, and Revenstorf as a way to answer the question, is a therapy or treatment effective enough such that a client does not meet the criteria for a diagnosis? Jacobson and Truax later defined clinical significance as "the extent to which therapy moves someone outside the range of the dysfunctional population or within the range of the functional population." They proposed two components of this index of change: the status of a patient or client after therapy has been completed, and "how much change has occurred during the course of therapy."
Clinical significance is also a consideration when interpreting the results of the psychological assessment of an individual. Frequently, there will be a difference of scores or subscores that is statistically significant, unlikely to have occurred purely by chance. However, not all of those statistically significant differences are clinically significant, in that they do not either explain existing information about the client, or provide useful direction for intervention. Differences that are small in magnitude typically lack practical relevance and are unlikely to be clinically significant. Differences that are common in the population are also unlikely to be clinically significant, because they may simply reflect a level of normal human variation. Additionally, clinicians look for information in the assessment data and the client's history that corroborates the relevance of the statistical difference, to establish the connection between performance on the specific test and the individual's more general functioning.
Calculation of clinical significance
Just as there are many ways to calculate statistical significance and practical significance, there are a variety of ways to calculate clinical significance. Five common methods are the Jacobson-Truax method, the Gulliksen-Lord-Novick method, the Edwards-Nunnally method, the Hageman-Arrindell method, and hierarchical linear modeling.
Jacobson-Truax
Jacobson-Truax is common method of calculating clinical significance. It involves calculating a Reliability Change Index (RCI). The RCI equals the difference between a participant's pre-test and post-test scores, divided by the standard error of the difference. Cutoff scores are established for placing participants into one of four categories: recovered, improved, unchanged, or deteriorated, depending on the directionality of the RCI and whether the cutoff score was met.[citation needed]
Gulliksen-Lord-Novick
The Gulliksen-Lord-Novick method is similar to Jacobson-Truax, except that it takes into account regression to the mean. This is done by subtracting the pre-test and post-test scores from a population mean, and dividing by the standard deviation of the population.
Edwards-Nunnally
The Edwards-Nunnally method of calculating clinical significance is a more stringent alternative to the Jacobson-Truax method. Reliability scores are used to bring the pre-test scores closer to the mean, and then a confidence interval is developed for this adjusted pre-test score. Confidence intervals are used when calculating the change from pre-test to post-test, so greater actual change in scores is necessary to show clinical significance, compared to the Jacobson-Truax method.[citation needed]
Hageman-Arrindell
The Hageman-Arrindell calculation of clinical significance involves indices of group change and of individual change. The reliability of change indicates whether a patient has improved, stayed the same, or deteriorated. A second index, the clinical significance of change, indicates four categories similar to those used by Jacobson-Truax: deteriorated, not reliably changed, improved but not recovered, and recovered.[citation needed]
Hierarchical linear modeling (HLM)
HLM involves growth curve analysis instead of pre-test post-test comparisons, so three data points are needed from each patient, instead of only two data points (pre-test and post-test). A computer program, such as Hierarchical Linear and Nonlinear Modeling is used to calculate change estimates for each participant. HLM also allows for analysis of growth curve models of dyads and groups.[citation needed]
See also
- Cohen's h
- Medical statistics
- Minimal clinically important difference
References
- Kazdin AE (June 1999). "The meanings and measurement of clinical significance" (PDF). Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology. 67 (3): 332–9. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.595.9231. doi:10.1037/0022-006x.67.3.332. PMID 10369053. Archived from the original (PDF) on 6 November 2013. Retrieved 3 November 2013.
- Polit DF, Beck CT (2012). Nursing Research: Generating Evidence for Nursing Practice (9th ed.). Philadelphia: Wolters Klower/Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. ISBN 978-1-60547-782-4.
- Haase RF, Ellis MV, Ladany N (1989). "Multiple Criteria for Evaluating the Magnitude of Experimental Effects". Journal of Counseling Psychology. 36 (4): 511–516. doi:10.1037/0022-0167.36.4.511.
- Shabbir SH, Sanders AE (September 2014). "Clinical significance in dementia research: a review of the literature". American Journal of Alzheimer's Disease and Other Dementias. 29 (6): 492–7. doi:10.1177/1533317514522539. PMC 10852744. PMID 24526758.
- Peterson L (7 February 2008). Clinical" Significance: "Clinical" Significance and "Practical" Significance are NOT the Same Things. Annual Meeting of the Southwest Educational Research Association. New Orleans, LA.
- Vacha-Haase T, Nilsson JE, Reetz DR, Lance TS, Thompson B (June 2000). "Reporting practices and APA editorial policies regarding statistical significance and effect size". Theory & Psychology. 10 (3): 413–425. doi:10.1177/0959354300103006.
- Cohen J (1997). "The earth is round (p < 0.05)". The American Psychologist. 49 (12): 997–1003. doi:10.1037/0003-066X.49.12.997.
- Wilkinson L (1999). "Statistical methods in psychology journals: Guidelines and explanations". American Psychologist. 54 (8): 594–604. doi:10.1037/0003-066x.54.8.594.
- Jacobson NS, Follette WC, Revenstorf D (September 1984). "Psychotherapy outcome research: Methods for reporting variability and evaluating clinical significance". Behavior Therapy. 15 (4): 336–52. doi:10.1016/S0005-7894(84)80002-7.
- Jacobson NS, Truax P (February 1991). "Clinical significance: a statistical approach to defining meaningful change in psychotherapy research". Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology. 59 (1): 12–9. doi:10.1037/0022-006x.59.1.12. PMID 2002127. S2CID 28125243.
- Sattler JM (2008). Assessment of children: Cognitive foundations (5th ed.). San Diego: Sattler Publications. ISBN 978-0-9702671-6-0.
- Kaufman AS, Lichtenberger E (2006). Assessing Adolescent and Adult Intelligence (3rd ed.). Hoboken (NJ): Wiley. ISBN 978-0-471-73553-3.
- Hsu LM (December 1999). "A comparison of three methods of identifying reliable and clinically significant client changes: commentary on Hageman and Arrindell". Behaviour Research and Therapy. 37 (12): 1195–202, discussion 1219–33. doi:10.1016/S0005-7967(99)00033-9. PMID 10596465.
- Speer DC, Greenbaum PE (December 1995). "Five methods for computing significant individual client change and improvement rates: support for an individual growth curve approach". Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology. 63 (6): 1044–8. doi:10.1037/0022-006x.63.6.1044. PMID 8543708.
- Hageman WJ, Arrindell WA (December 1999). "Establishing clinically significant change: increment of precision and the distinction between individual and group level of analysis". Behaviour Research and Therapy. 37 (12): 1169–93. doi:10.1016/s0005-7967(99)00032-7. PMID 10596464.
- "SSI - Scientific Software International, Inc". Archived from the original on 2 June 2009. Retrieved 19 July 2009.
In medicine and psychology clinical significance is the practical importance of a treatment effect whether it has a real genuine palpable noticeable effect on daily life Types of significanceStatistical significance Statistical significance is used in hypothesis testing whereby the null hypothesis that there is no relationship between variables is tested A level of significance is selected most commonly a 0 05 or 0 01 which signifies the probability of incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis If there is a significant difference between two groups at a 0 05 it means that there is only a 5 probability of obtaining the observed results under the assumption that the difference is entirely due to chance i e the null hypothesis is true it gives no indication of the magnitude or clinical importance of the difference When statistically significant results are achieved they favor rejection of the null hypothesis but they do not prove that the null hypothesis is false Likewise non significant results do not prove that the null hypothesis is true they also give no evidence of the truth or falsity of the hypothesis the researcher has generated Statistical significance relates only to the compatibility between observed data and what would be expected under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true Practical significance In broad usage the practical clinical significance answers the question how effective is the intervention or treatment or how much change does the treatment cause In terms of testing clinical treatments practical significance optimally yields quantified information about the importance of a finding using metrics such as effect size number needed to treat NNT and preventive fraction Practical significance may also convey semi quantitative comparative or feasibility assessments of utility Effect size is one type of practical significance It quantifies the extent to which a sample diverges from expectations Effect size can provide important information about the results of a study and are recommended for inclusion in addition to statistical significance Effect sizes have their own sources of bias are subject to change based on population variability of the dependent variable and tend to focus on group effects not individual changes Although clinical significance and practical significance are often used synonymously a more technical restrictive usage denotes this as erroneous This technical use within psychology and psychotherapy not only results from a carefully drawn precision and particularity of language but it enables a shift in perspective from group effects to the specifics of change s within an individual citation needed Specific usage In contrast when used as a technical term within psychology and psychotherapy clinical significance yields information on whether a treatment was effective enough to change a patient s diagnostic label In terms of clinical treatment studies clinical significance answers the question Is a treatment effective enough to cause the patient to be normal with respect to the diagnostic criteria in question citation needed For example a treatment might significantly change depressive symptoms statistical significance the change could be a large decrease in depressive symptoms practical significance effect size and 40 of the patients no longer met the diagnostic criteria for depression clinical significance It is very possible to have a treatment that yields a significant difference and medium or large effect sizes but does not move a patient from dysfunctional to functional citation needed Within psychology and psychotherapy clinical significance was first proposed by Jacobson Follette and Revenstorf as a way to answer the question is a therapy or treatment effective enough such that a client does not meet the criteria for a diagnosis Jacobson and Truax later defined clinical significance as the extent to which therapy moves someone outside the range of the dysfunctional population or within the range of the functional population They proposed two components of this index of change the status of a patient or client after therapy has been completed and how much change has occurred during the course of therapy Clinical significance is also a consideration when interpreting the results of the psychological assessment of an individual Frequently there will be a difference of scores or subscores that is statistically significant unlikely to have occurred purely by chance However not all of those statistically significant differences are clinically significant in that they do not either explain existing information about the client or provide useful direction for intervention Differences that are small in magnitude typically lack practical relevance and are unlikely to be clinically significant Differences that are common in the population are also unlikely to be clinically significant because they may simply reflect a level of normal human variation Additionally clinicians look for information in the assessment data and the client s history that corroborates the relevance of the statistical difference to establish the connection between performance on the specific test and the individual s more general functioning Calculation of clinical significanceJust as there are many ways to calculate statistical significance and practical significance there are a variety of ways to calculate clinical significance Five common methods are the Jacobson Truax method the Gulliksen Lord Novick method the Edwards Nunnally method the Hageman Arrindell method and hierarchical linear modeling Jacobson Truax Jacobson Truax is common method of calculating clinical significance It involves calculating a Reliability Change Index RCI The RCI equals the difference between a participant s pre test and post test scores divided by the standard error of the difference Cutoff scores are established for placing participants into one of four categories recovered improved unchanged or deteriorated depending on the directionality of the RCI and whether the cutoff score was met citation needed Gulliksen Lord Novick The Gulliksen Lord Novick method is similar to Jacobson Truax except that it takes into account regression to the mean This is done by subtracting the pre test and post test scores from a population mean and dividing by the standard deviation of the population Edwards Nunnally The Edwards Nunnally method of calculating clinical significance is a more stringent alternative to the Jacobson Truax method Reliability scores are used to bring the pre test scores closer to the mean and then a confidence interval is developed for this adjusted pre test score Confidence intervals are used when calculating the change from pre test to post test so greater actual change in scores is necessary to show clinical significance compared to the Jacobson Truax method citation needed Hageman Arrindell The Hageman Arrindell calculation of clinical significance involves indices of group change and of individual change The reliability of change indicates whether a patient has improved stayed the same or deteriorated A second index the clinical significance of change indicates four categories similar to those used by Jacobson Truax deteriorated not reliably changed improved but not recovered and recovered citation needed Hierarchical linear modeling HLM HLM involves growth curve analysis instead of pre test post test comparisons so three data points are needed from each patient instead of only two data points pre test and post test A computer program such as Hierarchical Linear and Nonlinear Modeling is used to calculate change estimates for each participant HLM also allows for analysis of growth curve models of dyads and groups citation needed See alsoCohen s h Medical statistics Minimal clinically important differenceReferencesKazdin AE June 1999 The meanings and measurement of clinical significance PDF Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 67 3 332 9 CiteSeerX 10 1 1 595 9231 doi 10 1037 0022 006x 67 3 332 PMID 10369053 Archived from the original PDF on 6 November 2013 Retrieved 3 November 2013 Polit DF Beck CT 2012 Nursing Research Generating Evidence for Nursing Practice 9th ed Philadelphia Wolters Klower Lippincott Williams amp Wilkins ISBN 978 1 60547 782 4 Haase RF Ellis MV Ladany N 1989 Multiple Criteria for Evaluating the Magnitude of Experimental Effects Journal of Counseling Psychology 36 4 511 516 doi 10 1037 0022 0167 36 4 511 Shabbir SH Sanders AE September 2014 Clinical significance in dementia research a review of the literature American Journal of Alzheimer s Disease and Other Dementias 29 6 492 7 doi 10 1177 1533317514522539 PMC 10852744 PMID 24526758 Peterson L 7 February 2008 Clinical Significance Clinical Significance and Practical Significance are NOT the Same Things Annual Meeting of the Southwest Educational Research Association New Orleans LA Vacha Haase T Nilsson JE Reetz DR Lance TS Thompson B June 2000 Reporting practices and APA editorial policies regarding statistical significance and effect size Theory amp Psychology 10 3 413 425 doi 10 1177 0959354300103006 Cohen J 1997 The earth is round p lt 0 05 The American Psychologist 49 12 997 1003 doi 10 1037 0003 066X 49 12 997 Wilkinson L 1999 Statistical methods in psychology journals Guidelines and explanations American Psychologist 54 8 594 604 doi 10 1037 0003 066x 54 8 594 Jacobson NS Follette WC Revenstorf D September 1984 Psychotherapy outcome research Methods for reporting variability and evaluating clinical significance Behavior Therapy 15 4 336 52 doi 10 1016 S0005 7894 84 80002 7 Jacobson NS Truax P February 1991 Clinical significance a statistical approach to defining meaningful change in psychotherapy research Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 59 1 12 9 doi 10 1037 0022 006x 59 1 12 PMID 2002127 S2CID 28125243 Sattler JM 2008 Assessment of children Cognitive foundations 5th ed San Diego Sattler Publications ISBN 978 0 9702671 6 0 Kaufman AS Lichtenberger E 2006 Assessing Adolescent and Adult Intelligence 3rd ed Hoboken NJ Wiley ISBN 978 0 471 73553 3 Hsu LM December 1999 A comparison of three methods of identifying reliable and clinically significant client changes commentary on Hageman and Arrindell Behaviour Research and Therapy 37 12 1195 202 discussion 1219 33 doi 10 1016 S0005 7967 99 00033 9 PMID 10596465 Speer DC Greenbaum PE December 1995 Five methods for computing significant individual client change and improvement rates support for an individual growth curve approach Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 63 6 1044 8 doi 10 1037 0022 006x 63 6 1044 PMID 8543708 Hageman WJ Arrindell WA December 1999 Establishing clinically significant change increment of precision and the distinction between individual and group level of analysis Behaviour Research and Therapy 37 12 1169 93 doi 10 1016 s0005 7967 99 00032 7 PMID 10596464 SSI Scientific Software International Inc Archived from the original on 2 June 2009 Retrieved 19 July 2009